Don’t Look Down

don't look down

Sometimes, the best advice are kinda creepy and scary if you think deeply of it. There is some advice that if you are feeling miserable, look into others and find what troubles them and what suffering they are experiencing. I think this is kinda immoral. Just imagine, that you are now have most thing that disabled people don’t have, and be grateful for what you have just because you can see that other people are more miserable than we are. The advice often said, “Look down and you will be grateful”

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Beowulf vs Dragon


I remembered a story between Beowulf vs Dragon. It’s a old poem which describes how Beowulf, the hero, killed monsters and ultimately kill a dragon.

By learning about Beowulf story, I realize that Heroism , which describes as a person who brave and have characteristics to take risks even on his life, is nothing more than a personal journey. Not altruism.

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Anxiety Strikes Back

For the last couple of days, I have felt some anxiety. There are a lot of new things going on in my life. But I think the most responsible for this matter is the way I now look things. I am not looking at the mirrors, but rather go out and search all possible alternatives.

I become realistic, somewhat nihilist and absurdist…I can’t decide which one I’m in. Religion also takes part in this, as nowadays it is heavily influenced by capitalism. I felt that it’s not just a way of life, but also a way to get richer and stronger in life. The main function is not just to be able to communicate with God and with human through society, but also act as a means to get materialistic things. This is sad how religion evolves to fit to human needs.

I’ve spent some quite bucks for new site and several hosting, it might also contribute to my anxiety because I’ve never spent so much money on hosting and domains before. I can’t imagine next year when the billing invoices comes.

According to RescueTime, an app that tracks my daily activities on computers. I’ve spent the most time looking at Facebook. I know, it’s nothing but I like hanging out with my friends. At least on internet I can look at how my friends success, how they react to my status, or how I can learn from other things that can contribute to my success. Well, most of the time it just contains garbage. Mark, why did you create such evil things to make our lives miserable just to look at others success and not your own?

Second most distracting things is in Business category. So that’s relieving. I just thought I didn’t get enough time for doing anything else besides marketing and facebook. I think I just have to cut time for facebook for a little while. Gradually before I close up my account. I said that last year, and it’s still there lol.

Third most distracting activities are uncategories. Just browsing bunch of youtube channels and blogs to see what’s going on to the digital world.

It is said that the first medicine to anxiety is to admit that you have an anxiety. So there you go. I hope I get well soon.

Pareto vs Survivorship Bias?

pareto vs survivorship bias

Pareto vs Survivorship Bias. I had this confusion when I was going to focus to which one of the activity that productive to me when doing business from internet.

Pareto principle is basically telling you that 80 percent of the results come from 20 percent of the effort. In order word, only focus on 20 percent that gains you the most results.

Pareto is said to be successfully accurate in economics, business, science, software, health, and other sort of things.

What bothers me is that Pareto is severely bias, not all 80% fitness comes from 20% effort because it might because that only 20% of the effort is needed instead of the 80% of the rest.

Well, that’s not quite helpful to understand the Pareto principle.

In another word: focus success and repeat success, or rinse or repeat. I have a problem with this statement, because of the law of uncertainty and quantum mechanics. Not all success can be repeated. Especially if you leave out the 80% of the factor and only follow the 20% of the result.

But majority of the population will follow Pareto. That’s just how it goes.

This also confuses me with Survivorship bias, which is contrary to the Pareto.
Survivorship bias is a bias that come from not knowing the failure, which 80% pareto has.

In survivorship bias, not knowing the failure is said to be not knowing the success also.

Like the comic above, you cannot conclude that just because a woman who lives over a hundred year causes by rum and cigars diet. That is the survivor factor. The failure factor (80%) comes from other woman who also had the diet and not survived (a.k.a dead).

In other word, you must not focus only on success, but also find the hidden failure that makes up the success.

So you must know the success and also the failure in order to claim the success, not just the 20% of it and ignore the 80% of the rest.

In real world, to apply this principle you must not read only success books to find what success people did, but you must also find what success people didn’t do.

However, it’s going to be a waste of time to get the 80% but it completes the understanding of how success mechanic work in pareto vs survivorship bias.

So which one will you follow?

Pareto or Survivorship Bias?

Get a Clue Phantom

Several people were stuck on the Kennywood ride, “Phantom’s Revenge”, when it stopped suddenly Tuesday afternoon. – CBS

Seems like all the amusement parks are having a lot of trouble lately. Or maybe we’re just hearing about it more. I never go one rides like Phantom’s Revenge, I don’t think going 60 miles an hour upside down is fun.

clue Eileen Brennan mrs peacock tumblr

Eileen Brennan, who went from musical comedy on Broadway to wringing laughs out of memorable characters in such films as “Private Benjamin” and “Clue,” has died. She was 80. – Yahoo! News

I saw Clue for the first time not too long ago.